Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2014·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Caceres: Well-roundedvsSergio Pettis: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(69.7%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Sergio Pettis
Blue Corner
+177
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-192
(66%)
37
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Sergio Pettis
oldest →latest
L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18L
vs Rob Font · Dec 18W
vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricSergio Pettis
4.21
Strikes / min
3.88
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
62%
Strike defense
65%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.85
64%
Takedown defense
67%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresSergio Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.5-5.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Sergio Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14