Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Caceres: Well-roundedvsSteven Peterson: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(78.1%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Steven Peterson
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
37
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Steven PetersonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Luis Pena · Mar 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricSteven Peterson
4.21
Strikes / min
4.76
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
62%
Strike defense
53%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.42
64%
Takedown defense
64%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.5-7.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+34.0-34.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Steven Peterson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8