Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Morono won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2022·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex Morono
Red Corner
VS
Matthew Semelsberger
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex MoronoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 24L
vs Niko Price · Jun 24L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25L
vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26Matthew SemelsbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex MoronoMetricMatthew Semelsberger
4.90
Strikes / min
3.77
4.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
1.01
47%
Takedown defense
45%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex MoronoMatthew Semelsberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Morono(10 fights)Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.0-41.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Alex Morono
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights23
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11