Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Oliveira won
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Alex Oliveira wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Alex Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlo Pedersoli (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Carlo Pedersoli
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
38
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22Carlo Pedersoli
oldest →latest
W
vs Bradley Scott · May 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricCarlo Pedersoli
2.99
Strikes / min
—
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
—
46%
Strike defense
—
2.35
TDs / 15 min
—
63%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex OliveiraCarlo Pedersoli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)Carlo Pedersoli(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+74.3-74.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+43.0-43.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21
Carlo Pedersoli
No profile data.