Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Oliveira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex Oliveira wins(62.4%)
Actual result: Alex Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Moontasri threatens submissions; Alex Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- James Moontasri has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).
- Alex Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
James Moontasri
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22James Moontasri
oldest →latest
L
vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14W
SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 15W
KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15L
vs Alex Morono · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricJames Moontasri
2.99
Strikes / min
2.39
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
46%
Strike defense
40%
2.35
TDs / 15 min
0.00
63%
Takedown defense
79%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex OliveiraJames Moontasri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)James Moontasri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.8-22.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-99.099.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21
James Moontasri
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6