Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, April 24, 2021·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Oliveira: WrestlervsRandy Brown: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alex Oliveira wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Oliveira
Red Corner
VS
Randy Brown
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Max Griffin · Mar 20W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex OliveiraMetricRandy Brown
2.99
Strikes / min
4.39
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
46%
Strike defense
53%
2.35
TDs / 15 min
0.71
63%
Takedown defense
74%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex OliveiraRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Oliveira(10 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.3-9.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21