Flyweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Mokaev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 2, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Perez: WrestlervsMuhammad Mokaev: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Muhammad Mokaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Muhammad Mokaev threatens submissions; Alex Perez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Alex Perez has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Muhammad Mokaev has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Perez
Red Corner
VS
Muhammad Mokaev
Blue Corner
+320
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-410
(80%)
34
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex Perez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 22W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Oct 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23W
vs Manel Kape · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex PerezMetricMuhammad Mokaev
4.41
Strikes / min
1.61
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
1.35
59%
Strike defense
57%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
5.29
75%
Takedown defense
25%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.21evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex PerezMuhammad Mokaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Perez(10 fights)Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.626.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+448.0-448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Alex Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14
Muhammad Mokaev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7