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Flyweight
3 Rounds
7 days away
Elo1498
Alex Perez
Elo1522

Alex PerezvsSumudaerjiUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · Saturday, August 29, 2026Shanghai, China

Fight begins in
Style matchupAlex Perez: WrestlervsSumudaerji: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sumudaerji has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alex Perez
Red Corner
VS
Sumudaerji
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1498
Elo
1522
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'8"
165.1 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alex Perez
oldest →
W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24
L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25
W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26
L
vs Sumudaerji · May 26
latest
Sumudaerji
oldest →
L
vs Charles Johnson · Oct 24
W
vs Mitch Raposo · Apr 25
W
vs Kevin Borjas · Aug 25
W
vs Jesus Aguilar · Mar 26
L
vs Alex Perez · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alex PerezMetricSumudaerji
4.41
Strikes / min
4.43
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
59%
Strike defense
62%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
0.67
75%
Takedown defense
72%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.21evenly matched on net striking+2.08
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Alex Perez(10 fights)Sumudaerji(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO40%

Historical win share: Alex Perez earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission60%

Historical win share: Alex Perez earned 25% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Alex Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17

Sumudaerji

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9