Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charlie Campbell won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Reyes: Pressure fightervsCharlie Campbell: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Charlie Campbell wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Charlie Campbell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Campbell is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alex Reyes has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Charlie Campbell has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Charlie Campbell
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
39
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex ReyesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mike Perry · Sep 17L
vs Tom Nolan · Aug 24Charlie Campbell
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevor Peek · Apr 24L
SUBvs Tom Nolan · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex ReyesMetricCharlie Campbell
4.46
Strikes / min
5.23
6.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
48%
Strike defense
55%
1.50
TDs / 15 min
2.45
0%
Takedown defense
62%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.46Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap+1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex ReyesCharlie Campbell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Reyes(3 fights)Charlie Campbell(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.416.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Alex Reyes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Charlie Campbell
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3