Featherweight
3 Rounds
Clay Collard won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex White: Well-roundedvsClay Collard: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alex White wins(65.8%)
Actual result: Clay Collard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex White has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex White (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex White
Red Corner
VS
Clay Collard
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
37
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex White
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17L
vs James Krause · Jan 18L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18W
vs Dan Moret · Mar 19L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19Clay CollardL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 14L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Jun 15L
vs Tiago Trator · Sep 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex WhiteMetricClay Collard
3.76
Strikes / min
4.22
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
5.00
60%
Strike defense
50%
0.92
TDs / 15 min
2.81
71%
Takedown defense
71%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.69Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex WhiteClay Collard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex White(10 fights)Clay Collard(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.2-13.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+38.0-38.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alex White
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Clay Collard
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4