Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alex White won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2019·Wichita, Kansas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex White wins(60.0%)
Actual result: Alex White wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex White enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex White has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex White has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alex White
Red Corner
VS
Dan Moret
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
37
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex WhiteL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jan 17W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17L
vs James Krause · Jan 18L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19Dan MoretL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Apr 18L
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex WhiteMetricDan Moret
3.76
Strikes / min
2.67
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
60%
Strike defense
43%
0.92
TDs / 15 min
1.25
71%
Takedown defense
45%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.69Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-0.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex WhiteDan Moret
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex White(10 fights)Dan Moret(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.320.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alex White
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Dan Moret
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3