Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Felice Herrig won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2017·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexa Grasso: Pressure fightervsFelice Herrig: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Felice Herrig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexa Grasso has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Felice Herrig has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alexa Grasso
Red Corner
VS
Felice Herrig
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+315
(24%)
32
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricFelice Herrig
4.11
Strikes / min
3.84
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
5.19
58%
Strike defense
48%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.08
54%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexa GrassoFelice Herrig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Felice Herrig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10