Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alexa Grasso won · KO/TKO R1
AG
MB
Alexa GrassovsMaycee Barber
UFC Event · Saturday, March 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexa Grasso: Pressure fightervsMaycee Barber: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Alexa Grasso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maycee Barber enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Maycee Barber (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexa Grasso
Red Corner
VS
Maycee Barber
Blue Corner
+124
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-158
(61%)
32
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa GrassoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25Maycee BarberW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jul 22W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 23W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 23W
vs Katlyn Cerminara · Mar 24W
vs Karine Silva · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricMaycee Barber
4.11
Strikes / min
4.56
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.56
54%
Takedown defense
51%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+1.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexa GrassoMaycee Barber
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Maycee Barber(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-58.758.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+210.0-210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Maycee Barber
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13