Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 19, 2018·Santiago, Chile, Chile
Style matchupAlexa Grasso: Pressure fightervsTatiana Suarez: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexa Grasso has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexa Grasso
Red Corner
VS
Tatiana Suarez
Blue Corner
+425
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
32
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Tatiana Suarez
oldest →latest
W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Jun 19W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricTatiana Suarez
4.11
Strikes / min
2.86
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
58%
Strike defense
44%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
4.52
54%
Takedown defense
57%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40evenly matched on net striking+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexa GrassoTatiana Suarez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Tatiana Suarez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.716.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Tatiana Suarez
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9