Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
Alexa Grasso won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexa Grasso: Pressure fightervsViviane Araujo: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alexa Grasso wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Alexa Grasso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viviane Araujo has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alexa Grasso
Red Corner
VS
Viviane Araujo
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Viviane Araujo
oldest →latest
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23W
vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24W
vs Karine Silva · Nov 24L
vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexa GrassoMetricViviane Araujo
4.11
Strikes / min
3.84
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
4.83
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.72
54%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexa GrassoViviane Araujo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexa Grasso(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14
Viviane Araujo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights13