Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Gustafsson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2011·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupAlexander Gustafsson: Pressure fightervsJames Te Huna: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexander Gustafsson wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Alexander Gustafsson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Te Huna has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Gustafsson has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alexander Gustafsson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Gustafsson
Red Corner
VS
James Te Huna
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
KOvs Jon Jones · Dec 18L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22James Te HunaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Jimmo · Feb 13L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 13L
KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 13L
SUBvs Nate Marquardt · Jun 14L
KOvs Steve Bosse · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander GustafssonMetricJames Te Huna
4.03
Strikes / min
4.04
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
51%
Strike defense
62%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
2.75
83%
Takedown defense
58%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander GustafssonJames Te Huna
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)James Te Huna(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Alexander Gustafsson
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights17
James Te Huna
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9