Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Alexander Gustafsson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2014·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupAlexander Gustafsson: Pressure fightervsJimi Manuwa: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Alexander Gustafsson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Gustafsson
Red Corner
VS
Jimi Manuwa
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
39
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · May 17L
KOvs Jon Jones · Dec 18L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22Jimi ManuwaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18L
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander GustafssonMetricJimi Manuwa
4.03
Strikes / min
3.43
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
51%
Strike defense
49%
1.53
TDs / 15 min
0.53
83%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander GustafssonJimi Manuwa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.4-14.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Alexander Gustafsson
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights17
Jimi Manuwa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12