Lightweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fightervsRenato Moicano: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Hernandez
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
33
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander HernandezW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander HernandezMetricRenato Moicano
4.23
Strikes / min
4.10
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
1.68
68%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.22evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander HernandezRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20