Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Munoz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 15, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alexander Munoz wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Alexander Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Munoz has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Munoz (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Munoz
Red Corner
VS
Carl Deaton
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+176
(36%)
36
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Munoz
oldest →latest
L
vs Luis Pena · Apr 21Carl Deaton
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Joe Solecki · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander MunozMetricCarl Deaton
3.70
Strikes / min
1.53
4.73
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
55%
Strike defense
61%
3.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander MunozCarl Deaton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Munoz(2 fights)Carl Deaton(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.02.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+679.0-679.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Alexander Munoz
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
Carl Deaton
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2