Featherweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Alexander Volkanovski won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(80.7%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ortega (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Volkanovski
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ortega
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24W
vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25W
vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26Brian OrtegaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chan Sung Jung · Oct 20L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 22W
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 24L
vs Diego Lopes · Sep 24L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkanovskiMetricBrian Ortega
5.99
Strikes / min
3.84
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
6.38
58%
Strike defense
49%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
0.93
68%
Takedown defense
54%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.68Δ 5.22 — meaningful gap-2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander VolkanovskiBrian Ortega
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)Brian Ortega(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.5-46.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alexander Volkanovski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18
Brian Ortega
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13