Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkanovski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 10, 2017·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Style matchupAlexander Volkanovski: Well-roundedvsMizuto Hirota: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkanovski wins(79.7%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkanovski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkanovski has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Volkanovski
Red Corner
VS
Mizuto Hirota
Blue Corner
-580
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
37
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24W
vs Diego Lopes · Apr 25W
vs Diego Lopes · Jan 26Mizuto HirotaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 13L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13W
vs Cole Miller · Dec 16L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 18L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkanovskiMetricMizuto Hirota
5.99
Strikes / min
3.36
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
1.36
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.68Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander VolkanovskiMizuto Hirota
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.5-31.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Alexander Volkanovski
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18
Mizuto Hirota
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6