Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 25, 2025·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAlexander Volkov: Well-roundedvsJailton Almeida: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Volkov
Red Corner
VS
Jailton Almeida
Blue Corner
+166
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-198
(66%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Volkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 22W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24Jailton Almeida
oldest →latest
W
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 23L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkovMetricJailton Almeida
4.84
Strikes / min
2.23
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
1.30
54%
Strike defense
43%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
5.64
68%
Takedown defense
60%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.94Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander VolkovJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.112.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
Alexander Volkov
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11