Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alexander Volkov wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Volkov
Red Corner
VS
Roy Nelson
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
37
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Volkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Alistair Overeem · Mar 15L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkovMetricRoy Nelson
4.84
Strikes / min
2.18
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.14
68%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.94Δ 4.55 — meaningful gap-2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander VolkovRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkov(10 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.0-19.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Alexander Volkov
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18