Lightweight
3 Rounds
Roosevelt Roberts won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2019·Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Alexander Yakovlev wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Roosevelt Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts threatens submissions; Alexander Yakovlev has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Alexander Yakovlev has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexander Yakovlev
Red Corner
VS
Roosevelt Roberts
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
41
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Yakovlev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs George Sullivan · Jan 16L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16W
SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20Roosevelt RobertsL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
vs Kevin Croom · Sep 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander YakovlevMetricRoosevelt Roberts
1.74
Strikes / min
2.84
2.41
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.66
TDs / 15 min
1.18
72%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.67evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexander YakovlevRoosevelt Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.124.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Alexander Yakovlev
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Roosevelt Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10