Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandr Romanov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 9, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexandr Romanov: WrestlervsJared Vanderaa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexandr Romanov wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Alexandr Romanov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
- Jared Vanderaa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alexandr Romanov
Red Corner
VS
Jared Vanderaa
Blue Corner
-575
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
35
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandr Romanov
oldest →latest
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Aug 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24Jared VanderaaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Tafa · May 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Feb 22L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22L
KOvs Chase Sherman · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandr RomanovMetricJared Vanderaa
3.78
Strikes / min
4.96
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
54%
Strike defense
45%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
0.18
28%
Takedown defense
20%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.65Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandr RomanovJared Vanderaa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.3-40.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Alexandr Romanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Jared Vanderaa
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7