Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandr Romanov won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, November 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexandr Romanov: WrestlervsMarcos Rogerio de Lima: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alexandr Romanov wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Alexandr Romanov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandr Romanov threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexandr Romanov
Red Corner
VS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
35
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandr Romanov
oldest →latest
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Aug 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandr RomanovMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
3.78
Strikes / min
3.70
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
54%
Strike defense
51%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
1.40
28%
Takedown defense
59%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.65evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandr RomanovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.0-3.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-567.0567.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Alexandr Romanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17