Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandr Romanov won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, September 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alexandr Romanov wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Alexandr Romanov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandr Romanov threatens submissions; Roque Martinez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Roque Martinez has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexandr Romanov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexandr Romanov
Red Corner
VS
Roque Martinez
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
35
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandr Romanov
oldest →latest
L
vs Marcin Tybura · Aug 22L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 23W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Jun 24W
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 24Roque MartinezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 20L
vs Josh Parisian · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandr RomanovMetricRoque Martinez
3.78
Strikes / min
3.28
2.13
Strikes absorbed / min
4.90
54%
Strike defense
56%
4.49
TDs / 15 min
0.38
28%
Takedown defense
53%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.65Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandr RomanovRoque Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandr Romanov(10 fights)Roque Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alexandr Romanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Roque Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3