Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandre Pantoja won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 21, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexandre Pantoja: WrestlervsBrandon Royval: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Alexandre Pantoja wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alexandre Pantoja
Red Corner
VS
Brandon Royval
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Brandon RoyvalL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 25L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricBrandon Royval
4.38
Strikes / min
5.54
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.25
49%
Strike defense
43%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
0.65
69%
Takedown defense
45%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50evenly matched on net striking+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandre PantojaBrandon Royval
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Brandon Royval(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.8-39.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Brandon Royval
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12