Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Joshua Van won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexandre Pantoja: WrestlervsJoshua Van: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(61.2%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alexandre Pantoja
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Van
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+176
(36%)
36
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre PantojaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Moreno · Jul 23W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edgar Chairez · Sep 24W
vs Cody Durden · Dec 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricJoshua Van
4.38
Strikes / min
8.43
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
49%
Strike defense
58%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
0.82
69%
Takedown defense
75%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandre PantojaJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.8-54.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10