Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandre Pantoja won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 21, 2019·Busan, South Korea, South Korea
Style matchupAlexandre Pantoja: WrestlervsMatt Schnell: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Alexandre Pantoja wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alexandre Pantoja
Red Corner
VS
Matt Schnell
Blue Corner
-181
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+159
(39%)
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricMatt Schnell
4.38
Strikes / min
4.07
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
49%
Strike defense
55%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
0.60
69%
Takedown defense
43%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandre PantojaMatt Schnell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Matt Schnell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.0-7.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16