Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Alexandre Pantoja won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAlexandre Pantoja: WrestlervsSteve Erceg: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Alexandre Pantoja wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Alexandre Pantoja
Red Corner
VS
Steve Erceg
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
36
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Moreno · Jul 23W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Steve Erceg
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessandro Costa · Nov 23W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Mar 24L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Aug 24L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25W
vs Ode Osbourne · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricSteve Erceg
4.38
Strikes / min
4.64
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
49%
Strike defense
55%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
1.13
69%
Takedown defense
67%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50evenly matched on net striking+0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandre PantojaSteve Erceg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Steve Erceg(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.8-69.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Steve Erceg
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7