Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alexandre Pantoja won
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2018·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Argentina
Model Prediction: Alexandre Pantoja wins(78.0%)
Actual result: Alexandre Pantoja wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ulka Sasaki (53.5%).
- Ulka Sasaki has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alexandre Pantoja
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
36
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'10"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →latest
W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
vs Steve Erceg · May 24W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Dec 24W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25Ulka Sasaki
oldest →latest
W
vs Willie Gates · May 16L
vs Wilson Reis · Feb 17W
vs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17L
vs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17W
vs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricUlka Sasaki
4.38
Strikes / min
—
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
—
49%
Strike defense
—
2.79
TDs / 15 min
—
69%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexandre PantojaUlka Sasaki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.3-27.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Alexandre Pantoja
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18
Ulka Sasaki
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1