Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alexis Davis won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2017·Fresno, California, USA, USA
Style matchupAlexis Davis: Pressure fightervsLiz Carmouche: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alexis Davis wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Alexis Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Liz Carmouche has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alexis Davis
Red Corner
VS
Liz Carmouche
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexis Davis
oldest →latest
L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19W
vs Sabina Mazo · Feb 21L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22Liz Carmouche
oldest →latest
W
vs Lauren Murphy · Apr 15W
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 16W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 18W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 19L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Aug 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexis DavisMetricLiz Carmouche
4.63
Strikes / min
2.78
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
54%
Strike defense
61%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
2.57
34%
Takedown defense
65%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alexis DavisLiz Carmouche
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexis Davis(10 fights)Liz Carmouche(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.1-39.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Alexis Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Liz Carmouche
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10