Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tony Kelley won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAli AlQaisi: WrestlervsTony Kelley: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Ali AlQaisi wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Tony Kelley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ali AlQaisi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tony Kelley (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ali AlQaisi
Red Corner
VS
Tony Kelley
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ali AlQaisiNo prior UFC fights on record.
Tony Kelley
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Randy Costa · Dec 21L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ali AlQaisiMetricTony Kelley
2.43
Strikes / min
5.55
1.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.85
56%
Strike defense
45%
3.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
52%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ali AlQaisiTony Kelley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ali AlQaisi(1 fights)Tony Kelley(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ali AlQaisi
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights1
Tony Kelley
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3