Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ali Bagautinov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Ali Bagautinov wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Ali Bagautinov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ali Bagautinov has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ali Bagautinov
Red Corner
VS
Geane Herrera
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ali BagautinovL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Elliott · Nov 13W
vs John Lineker · Feb 14L
vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 14L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Oct 15L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 16Geane Herrera
oldest →latest
L
vs Ray Borg · Aug 15W
KOvs Joby Sanchez · Dec 15L
vs Ben Nguyen · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ali BagautinovMetricGeane Herrera
2.85
Strikes / min
1.51
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.83
65%
Takedown defense
38%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.24Δ 3.32 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ali BagautinovGeane Herrera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ali Bagautinov(7 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.0-20.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+69.0-69.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Ali Bagautinov
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7
Geane Herrera
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4