Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Alice Ardelean won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alice Ardelean wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Alice Ardelean wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alice Ardelean has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alice Ardelean has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Montserrat Conejo Ruiz (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alice Ardelean
Red Corner
VS
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'0"
157.48 cm
Reach
154.94 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alice Ardelean
oldest →latest
L
vs Shauna Bannon · Jul 24L
vs Melissa Martinez · Oct 24W
vs Rayanne dos Santos · May 25Montserrat Conejo RuizL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jaqueline Amorim · Aug 23L
KOvs Eduarda Moura · Nov 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alice ArdeleanMetricMontserrat Conejo Ruiz
7.35
Strikes / min
2.21
5.20
Strikes absorbed / min
6.19
62%
Strike defense
44%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.75
85%
Takedown defense
44%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.15Δ 6.13 — meaningful gap-3.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alice ArdeleanMontserrat Conejo Ruiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alice Ardelean(4 fights)Montserrat Conejo Ruiz(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-574.0574.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Alice Ardelean
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
StanceSouthpaw
Height60.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights3