Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Alexander Volkov won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsAlexander Volkov: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Alexander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Volkov
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-182
(65%)
46
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'7"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair OvereemW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Nov 18W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20Alexander Volkov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 23W
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Jun 24L
vs Ciryl Gane · Dec 24W
vs Jailton Almeida · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricAlexander Volkov
3.67
Strikes / min
4.84
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.54
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23evenly matched on net striking+1.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemAlexander Volkov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Alexander Volkov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.8-27.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Alexander Volkov
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17