Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Alistair Overeem won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, May 8, 2016·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsAndrei Arlovski: Striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(71.4%)
Actual result: Alistair Overeem wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Andrei Arlovski
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
46
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricAndrei Arlovski
3.67
Strikes / min
3.82
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
57%
Strike defense
57%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.37
73%
Takedown defense
76%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemAndrei Arlovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.69.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27