Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, September 5, 2014·Ledyard, Connecticut, USA, USA
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsBen Rothwell: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Ben Rothwell
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricBen Rothwell
3.67
Strikes / min
3.71
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
57%
Strike defense
47%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.68
73%
Takedown defense
70%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.311.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16