Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Blaydes won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 9, 2018·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsCurtis Blaydes: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Curtis Blaydes is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Curtis Blaydes
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
46
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricCurtis Blaydes
3.67
Strikes / min
4.18
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
5.12
73%
Takedown defense
35%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23evenly matched on net striking+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemCurtis Blaydes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.1-7.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19