Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R5
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2019·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(63.1%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
46
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Nov 18W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
3.67
Strikes / min
3.48
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.3-23.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+196.0-196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15