Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Alistair Overeem won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 16, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupAlistair Overeem: Elusive strikervsWalt Harris: Striker
Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Alistair Overeem wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Walt Harris has lost 56% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alistair Overeem
Red Corner
VS
Walt Harris
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Nov 18W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Walt HarrisL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Jun 18W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricWalt Harris
3.67
Strikes / min
3.05
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.29
73%
Takedown defense
70%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alistair OvereemWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.2-34.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20
Walt Harris
StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights15