Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aljamain Sterling won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2017·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(75.2%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Augusto Mendes has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aljamain Sterling has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aljamain Sterling
Red Corner
VS
Augusto Mendes
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
36
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Augusto Mendes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Feb 16W
vs Frankie Saenz · Jan 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aljamain SterlingMetricAugusto Mendes
4.26
Strikes / min
2.42
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
59%
Strike defense
56%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.75
44%
Takedown defense
80%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11Δ 3.60 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aljamain SterlingAugusto Mendes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Augusto Mendes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.9-29.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-13.013.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22
Augusto Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3