Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Aljamain Sterling won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 6, 2023·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupAljamain Sterling: WrestlervsHenry Cejudo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(68.4%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aljamain Sterling has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aljamain Sterling
Red Corner
VS
Henry Cejudo
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
180.34 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Oct 22L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Henry CejudoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 19W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Song Yadong · Feb 25L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aljamain SterlingMetricHenry Cejudo
4.26
Strikes / min
3.83
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.84
59%
Strike defense
57%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.78
44%
Takedown defense
72%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aljamain SterlingHenry Cejudo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)Henry Cejudo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.4-29.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-896.0896.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22
Henry Cejudo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights16