Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Aljamain Sterling won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 22, 2022·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAljamain Sterling: WrestlervsTJ Dillashaw: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(76.9%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Dillashaw has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aljamain Sterling has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aljamain Sterling
Red Corner
VS
TJ Dillashaw
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
36
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25TJ Dillashaw
oldest →latest
W
vs John Lineker · Dec 16W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aljamain SterlingMetricTJ Dillashaw
4.26
Strikes / min
5.09
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
59%
Strike defense
62%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.56
44%
Takedown defense
77%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.11evenly matched on net striking+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aljamain SterlingTJ Dillashaw
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.5-15.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-259.0259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22
TJ Dillashaw
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights18