Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Guilherme Pat won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 13, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Guilherme Pat wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Guilherme Pat wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Guilherme Pat has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Guilherme Pat has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Allen Frye Jr.
Red Corner
VS
Guilherme Pat
Blue Corner
+158
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-188
(65%)
28
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'6"
203.2 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Allen Frye Jr.MetricGuilherme Pat
2.20
Strikes / min
2.70
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.03
36%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.07Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Allen Frye Jr.Guilherme Pat
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Allen Frye Jr.
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights1
Guilherme Pat
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights2