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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
6 days away
Elo1524
Alonzo Menifield
Elo1562

Alonzo MenifieldvsIwo BaraniewskiUFC Prediction

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, September 19, 2026Los Angeles, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupAlonzo Menifield: Well-roundedvsIwo Baraniewski: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Iwo Baraniewski is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Alonzo Menifield has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Iwo Baraniewski has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alonzo Menifield
Red Corner
VS
Iwo Baraniewski
Blue Corner
+202
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-252
(72%)
1524
Elo
1562
38
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alonzo Menifield
oldest →
L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24
W
vs Julius Walker · Feb 25
W
vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · May 26
latest
Iwo BaraniewskiW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Ibo Aslan · Dec 25
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 26
W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alonzo MenifieldMetricIwo Baraniewski
3.77
Strikes / min
15.77
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
14.01
50%
Strike defense
46%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
78%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap+1.76
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901513153515581580← oldermost recent →
Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)Iwo Baraniewski(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO92%

Historical win share: Iwo Baraniewski earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission8%

Historical win share: Alonzo Menifield earned 18% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Alonzo Menifield

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18

Iwo Baraniewski

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5