Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
William Knight won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alonzo Menifield wins(64.2%)
Actual result: William Knight wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- William Knight enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alonzo Menifield has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alonzo Menifield has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alonzo Menifield
Red Corner
VS
William Knight
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alonzo Menifield
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 24W
vs Julius Walker · Feb 25W
vs Oumar Sy · Jun 25L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 25William KnightL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Da-Un Jung · Apr 21W
KOvs Fabio Cherant · Aug 21L
vs Maxim Grishin · Feb 22L
KOvs Devin Clark · Apr 22L
vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alonzo MenifieldMetricWilliam Knight
3.77
Strikes / min
2.62
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.30
50%
Strike defense
35%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.78
78%
Takedown defense
48%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alonzo MenifieldWilliam Knight
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alonzo Menifield(10 fights)William Knight(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.9-17.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Alonzo Menifield
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16
William Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7