Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Rinaldi won
UFC Event·Saturday, August 5, 2017·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Alvaro Herrera wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Jordan Rinaldi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Alvaro Herrera
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Rinaldi
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
27
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alvaro HerreraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vernon Ramos · Nov 15L
vs Vicente Luque · Jul 16L
vs Devin Powell · Jul 18Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →latest
L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alvaro HerreraMetricJordan Rinaldi
—
Strikes / min
1.56
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
—
Strike defense
59%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.45
—
Takedown defense
20%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alvaro HerreraJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alvaro Herrera(4 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.4-14.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-39.039.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alvaro Herrera
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1
Jordan Rinaldi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5