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Elo1488
Amanda Lemos editorial illustration
Elo1544
Alexia Thainara editorial illustration

Amanda LemosvsAlexia ThainaraUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupAmanda Lemos: Well-roundedvsAlexia Thainara: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alexia Thainara enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Alexia Thainara has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Alexia Thainara has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Lemos
Red Corner
VS
Alexia Thainara
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1488
Elo
1544
39
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24
L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24
W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25
L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25
L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26
latest
Alexia ThainaraW3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Molly McCann · Mar 25
W
vs Loma Lookboonmee · Sep 25
W
vs Bruna Brasil · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda LemosMetricAlexia Thainara
2.75
Strikes / min
4.62
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
45%
Strike defense
59%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
4.54
63%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+2.16
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701493151515381560← oldermost recent →
Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Alexia Thainara(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO36%

Historical win share: Amanda Lemos earned 33% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission64%

Historical win share: Alexia Thainara earned 33% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Amanda Lemos

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15

Alexia Thainara

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3